Climate change poses an existential threat to trees, given our understanding of the importance of climate in shaping their geographic distributions. Climate envelope models are commonly used to predict how species will respond to climate change. These models give rise to the leading edge-trailing edge paradigm for range change: populations at the cool edge of a species’ distribution are expected to benefit from warming, whereas populations at the warm edge are expected to decline. We chall...

Tree-ring time series provide long-term, annually resolved information on the growth of individual trees. However, public tree-ring archives contain a considerable portion of data collected from trees that have been selected with specific research questions in mind (e.g., for climate reconstruction).  This makes these archives a biased representation of the sensitivity of forest ecosystems to ongoing climate variation (e.g. temperature, precipitation), including non-stationarity (i.e....